Outsider Outbox Articles,Chat,News AI Predicts : Regular Season Week 3 Picks and Week 2 Recap

AI Predicts : Regular Season Week 3 Picks and Week 2 Recap


I asked ChatGPT to predict the scores to all the NFL games!

Week 2 Recap:

Cool, got all the Week 2 results pulled up. Here’s the corrected Week 2 Recap with how my prior picks matched up, what I got right/wrong, plus a little color. Then I’ll follow with updated Week 3 picks (with the correct schedule).


🏈 Week 2 Recap: My Picks vs Actuals

Here are the games I predicted, the actual results, and whether I hit or missed. Some picks were close; some not so much. Let’s roll:

MatchupMy PickActual ResultCorrect?Notes / Highlights
Packers @ CommandersPackersPackers 27-18 over Commanders (Fox News)Good start, Packers played solid, controlled the game.
Lions vs BearsLionsLions 52-21 over Bears (Fox News)Huge performance by Detroit. Way more dominant than many expected.
Browns @ RavensRavensRavens 41-17 over Browns (NFL.com)Ravens’ defense + Lamar on point. Not very close.
Bengals vs JaguarsBengalsBengals won 31-27 vs Jaguars (NFL.com)Tight finish; my pick was right but the margin was smaller than I’d hoped.
Cowboys vs GiantsCowboysCowboys 40-37 (OT) over Giants (NFL.com)Close one, but I got the winner. My prediction was somewhat close in spirit.
Patriots vs DolphinsDolphinsPatriots 33-27 over Dolphins (NFL.com)Upset here. Pats pulled it off in Miami, surprising.
49ers vs SaintsSaints upset49ers 26-21 over Saints (NFL.com)Close game though; Saints made it interesting, but 49ers held on.
Bills vs JetsBillsBills 30-10 over Jets (NFL.com)Dominant showing by Buffalo.
Seahawks vs SteelersSteelersSeahawks 31-17 over Steelers (NFL.com)Big win for Seattle; defense stepped up. My pick missed this.
Rams vs TitansRamsRams 33-19 over Titans (Turf Show Times)Rams controlled second half nicely.
Broncos vs ColtsColtsColts 29-28 over Broncos (NFL.com)Nail-biter, but I picked the right side.
Cardinals vs PanthersCardinalsCardinals 27-22 over Panthers (NFL.com)Panthers made a late push but Cardinals held on.
Eagles vs ChiefsEaglesEagles 20-17 over Chiefs (NFL.com)Close game; Philly’s defense made big plays.
Falcons vs VikingsVikingsFalcons 22-6 over Vikings (FOX Sports)Complete miss; Falcons dominated.
Buccaneers vs TexansTexansBuccaneers 20-19 over Texans (ESPN.com)Misplaced here; Bucs made a gutsy road win. Last-minute drive.
Chargers vs RaidersChargersChargers 20-9 over Raiders (ESPN.com)Solid win. Defense + opportunistic plays.

✅ Overall: Week 2 Performance

  • Total picks: 16
  • Correct picks: 11
  • Misses: 5
  • Accuracy: ~ 69%
  • Big wins: Lions, Ravens, Bills, Cardinals, Colts
  • Surprising failures: Patriots over Dolphins, Falcons over Vikings, Seahawks over Steelers, Bucs win vs Texans

🎯 What I Learned

  • Home/road advantage still matters — but “momentum” and turnovers are proving huge in close games.
  • Injuries to key skill players seem to swing tight matchups more than I anticipated.
  • Upsets/tight finishes are frequent early; great to not lean too heavily toward favorites without checking depth and injuries.

Week 3


Let’s break down NFL Week 3 predictions, incorporating the latest injury updates, recent performances, betting lines, and our own analytical instincts.


Key Injury & Storyline Updates

Dolphins vs Bills:

  • Dolphins are missing TE Darren Waller (hip), CB Storm Duck (ankle), S Ifeatu Melifonwu (calf). Questionable: WR Jaylen Waddle (shoulder), DT Benito Jones (oblique), LB Chop Robinson (knee). (NFL.com)
  • Bills are without DT Ed Oliver and LB Matt Milano, both out. Questionable: DBs Taron Johnson, Cam Lewis, LB Shaq Thompson. (Reuters)

Bengals / Vikings:

  • Joe Burrow out for Bengals (toe surgery, ~3 months). Backup QB starts. (The Playoffs)
  • Vikings placed RB Aaron Jones on IR (hamstring), missing multiple weeks. (FOX Sports)
  • J.J. McCarthy also injured (ankle); likely miss. (The Playoffs)

Packers:

Commanders:

  • Jayden Daniels’ status vs Raiders is doubtful (knee sprain). Backup Marcus Mariota may start. (The Playoffs)

Expert Models & Betting Context


Game-by-Game Predictions (Spread Picks + Rationale + Score Predictions)

Here are my Week 3 picks, with spreads, predicted scores, and cover/ups and down:

MatchupSpread / LineMy Pick (with rationale)Predicted ScoreCover? / Upset Alert
Thursday Night Football

Dolphins @ Bills -12.5

Bills win, cover
— Bills at home, Dolphins dealing with multiple injuries, especially on DL/secondary.
Bills 31-14
Cover ✅
Sunday Early
Falcons @ Panthers ~ pick’em / slight PanthersFalcons win — Panthers 0-2, offense struggling; Falcons more explosive.Falcons 24-17Upset lean
Packers @ Browns -8.5Packers win, cover — Browns good defense, but Packers still more complete and Browns offense has QB/OL concerns.Packers 28-20Cover ✅
Texans @ Jaguars ~ slight JaguarsJaguars win — Texans still vulnerable; Jaguars can lean on defense.Jaguars 21-17Likely cover, but tight
Bengals @ Vikings -3Vikings win — Burrow out; backup QB + missing RBs for Vikings though, but home field helps.Vikings 24-14Slight cover
Steelers @ Patriots ~ pick’em / slight PatriotsPatriots win — Their defense could make enough plays; Steelers not putting it together yet.Patriots 20-17Possible cover
Rams @ Eagles -3.5Eagles win, cover — Rams adjusting to roster changes; Eagles steadier.Eagles 27-20Cover ✅
Jets @ Buccaneers -6.5Buccaneers win — Home edge, blending offense better; Jets have QB uncertainty.Buccaneers 28-18Cover ✅
Colts @ Titans ~ Titans slightTitans win — More stability in run game; Colts offense dynamic but if they can’t sustain, Titans pull this out.Titans 23-20Possible cover
Raiders @ Commanders -3.5Commanders win — Even if Daniels sits, Mariota + defense should carry more than Raiders can manage.Commanders 24-21Upset alert if Raiders keep pace
Broncos @ Chargers ~ Chargers -2 to -3Chargers win — More offensive firepower; Broncos have had inconsistent moments.Chargers 26-17Cover likely
Saints @ Seahawks -7Seahawks win, cover — Saints look overmatched; Seahawks get home boost.Seahawks 30-16Cover ✅
Cowboys @ Bears ~ Cowboys -4 to -5Cowboys win — Bears are playing hard but defense/offense disconnects.Cowboys 26-19Probably cover
Cardinals @ 49ers -1.5Cardinals upset (lean) — If Purdy is limited or out, 49ers could struggle; Cardinals capable.Cardinals 24-23Upset lean
Chiefs @ Giants +6Chiefs win — Giants still getting their act together; Chiefs’ offense dangerous even vs tough spots.Chiefs 27-23Probably cover
Monday Night Football
Lions @ Ravens -5.5Ravens win, cover — Home field + defense + ability to close games.Ravens 28-24

🟦 Slates & Score Predictions

  • Thursday Night Football
    • Bills 31, Dolphins 14
  • Sunday Early Slate
    • Falcons 24, Panthers 17
    • Packers 28, Browns 20
    • Jaguars 21, Texans 17
    • Vikings 24, Bengals 14
    • Patriots 20, Steelers 17
    • Eagles 27, Rams 20
  • Sunday Late Slate
    • Buccaneers 28, Jets 18
    • Titans 23, Colts 20
    • Commanders 24, Raiders 21
    • Chargers 26, Broncos 17
    • Seahawks 30, Saints 16
    • Cowboys 26, Bears 19
    • Cardinals 24, 49ers 23
    • Chiefs 27, Giants 23
  • Monday Night Football
    • Ravens 28, Lions 24

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