Outsider Outbox Articles,Chat,News AI Predicts : Regular Season Week 4 Picks and Week 3 Recap

AI Predicts : Regular Season Week 4 Picks and Week 3 Recap


I asked ChatGPT to predict the scores to all the NFL games!


Let’s break down NFL Week 4 (2025) — Predictions + Week 3 Recap


Week 3 Recap

MatchupMy PickActual ResultFinal ScoreCorrect?Notes
Dolphins @ BillsBillsBills (W)31–21Bills dominated at home. (ESPN.com)
Falcons @ PanthersFalconsPanthers (W)23–0Panthers defense shut ATL down. (ESPN.com)
Packers @ BrownsPackersBrowns (W)13–10Szmyt FG as time expired. (ESPN.com)
Texans @ JaguarsJaguarsJaguars (W)20–13Jags defense carried them. (ESPN.com)
Bengals @ VikingsVikingsVikings (W)48–10Bengals had QB trouble; Vikings dominated. (ESPN.com)
Steelers @ PatriotsPatriots* (my pick)Steelers (W)21–14Steelers forced turnovers and won. (ESPN.com)
Rams @ EaglesEaglesEagles (W)33–26Home crowd + defense. (ESPN.com)
Jets @ BuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneers (W)29–27Late-game heroics. (ESPN.com)
Colts @ TitansTitans (my pick)Colts (W)41–20Colts blew out Titans (Taylor 3 TDs). (ESPN.com)
Raiders @ CommandersCommandersCommanders (W)41–24Mariota led efficient attack. (ESPN.com)
Broncos @ ChargersChargers (my pick)Chargers (W)29–14Chargers offense took over. (ESPN.com)
Saints @ SeahawksSeahawks (my pick)Seahawks (W)33–15Seahawks rolled. (CBSSports.com)
Cowboys @ BearsCowboys (my pick)Bears (W)31–14Bears upset Cowboys in Chicago. (CBSSports.com)
Cardinals @ 49ersCardinals (my pick)49ers (W)16–1549ers escaped a close one. (CBSSports.com)
Chiefs @ GiantsChiefs (my pick)Chiefs (W)28–21KC did what KC does. (CBSSports.com)
Lions @ RavensRavens (my pick)Lions (W)38–30Lions dominated Ravens on MNF. (ESPN.com)

Week 3 Record (my picks vs actuals): 10 correct / 6 incorrect (16 games).
Sources: ESPN scoreboard & CBS/ESPN game recaps. (ESPN.com)


Season to Date (Weeks 2–3 combined)

You asked for season tally starting from when we began tracking (Week 2):

  • Week 2: 11 correct / 5 incorrect. (Your earlier tracked Week 2 figures.)
  • Week 3: 10 correct / 6 incorrect.
  • Total (Weeks 2–3): 21 correct / 11 incorrect out of 32 picksAccuracy: 65.6%.


Week 4 (2025)


High-impact injury / roster updates (checked Sep 24, 2025)

(Only the items that materially influenced picks — QBs, top WRs, OL, major defensive absences.)

  • Packers: RT Zach Tom is unlikely to play vs Cowboys (ongoing oblique/abdominal issue); this is a meaningful OL hit. (Reuters)
  • Cowboys: WR CeeDee Lamb out at least two games with high-ankle sprain — removes the team’s top target. (NFL.com)
  • Bills: DT Ed Oliver and LB Matt Milano have been listed on the Bills’ injury report for Week 4; Buffalo also added OL Spencer Brown as limited. Still, Buffalo is healthier than New Orleans overall. (Democrat and Chronicle)
  • 49ers: Several 49ers listed with practice limitations; Brock Purdy status had question marks earlier in the week — this makes SF less of a sure thing. Also a few WR/OL items reported. (Follow Friday practice report.) (Niners Nation)
  • Dolphins: Coach Mike McDaniel updated the Week 4 report — TE Darren Waller (hip) and CB Storm Duck (ankle) items noted; check final inactives Friday. (The Phinsider)
  • Bengals: Joe Burrow underwent toe surgery and is not expected back immediately — Bengals QB availability is limited near-term. (Yahoo Sports)
  • Chiefs: Rashee Rice remains suspended (off-field personal conduct policy) which reduces KC WR depth; Tyquan Thornton and others stepping up. (Talksport)

(If you want every team’s full practice/injury bulletin I can fetch all 32 reports and produce a one-page bulleted list.)


Week 4 Picks:

MatchupSpread / Line (early)My Pick (incl. rationale)Predicted ScoreCover? / Upset Flag
Thu — Seahawks @ CardinalsSEA -1.5Seahawks — deeper roster, better pass rush and more consistent OL/skill groupSEA 27–20Cover
Sun (Intl) — Vikings @ Steelers (Dublin)MIN -2.5Steelers — neutral site travel & Steelers’ defense + home-like crowd feel in Ireland tilt thisPIT 24–17Cover
Sun — Commanders @ FalconsWSH -1.5Falcons — Atlanta’s offense finds more favorable matchups; Commanders still sorting QBs/chemistryATL 23–21Upset lean
Sun — Saints @ BillsBUF -15.5Bills — depth and matchup advantage on both trenches; big favoriteBUF 35–14Blowout / Cover
Sun — Browns @ LionsDET -7Lions — strong RB combos and OL control the line of scrimmageDET 31–20Cover
Sun — Titans @ TexansTEN -2.5Titans — steadier play-calling, more consistent run gameTEN 21–17Lean Titans
Sun — Panthers @ PatriotsNE -5.5Patriots — home defense keeps this under control vs Panthers’ offenseNE 24–14Cover
Sun — Chargers @ GiantsLAC -6.5Chargers — deeper passing game / Josh Palmer/Bony combo; Giants OL/QB still shakyLAC 30–17Cover
Sun — Rams @ ColtsIND -1.5Colts — home crowd + Jonathan Taylor form; Colts slightly better overall matchupIND 27–24Close
Sun — 49ers @ JaguarsJAX -3.5Jaguars — home edge and 49ers’ injury list makes this closer than expectedJAX 23–20Upset lean
Sun — Chiefs @ RavensKC -1.5Chiefs — pick the offense in shootout; KC’s pass game can overcome defensive concernsKC 30–27Cover
Sun — Raiders @ BearsCHI -1.5Bears — home crowd + improved QB play; Raiders inconsistentCHI 21–20Toss-up
Sun — Buccaneers @ EaglesPHI -3.5Eagles — balanced attack & defense in PhillyPHI 27–20Cover
Sun Night (SNF) — Packers @ CowboysGB -3.5 (early)Packers — despite O-line issues, I lean GB; Cowboys missing CeeDee Lamb (out 2+ games) reduces Dallas explosiveness. (Reuters)GB 24–17Cover
Mon Night (MNF1) — Jets @ DolphinsMIA -3Dolphins — healthier roster + home field advantage; Jets still rebuildingMIA 26–14Cover
Mon Night (MNF2) — Bengals @ BroncosDEN -3Broncos — home altitude, Bengals dealing with Burrow availability questionsDEN 27–23Upset lean

Slates & Score Predictions

Thursday Night

  • Seahawks 27, Cardinals 20

Sunday (Day Slate)

  • Steelers 24, Vikings 17 (Dublin)
  • Falcons 23, Commanders 21
  • Bills 35, Saints 14
  • Lions 31, Browns 20
  • Titans 21, Texans 17
  • Patriots 24, Panthers 14
  • Chargers 30, Giants 17
  • Colts 27, Rams 24
  • Jaguars 23, 49ers 20
  • Chiefs 30, Ravens 27
  • Bears 21, Raiders 20
  • Eagles 27, Buccaneers 20

Sunday Night

  • Packers 24, Cowboys 17

Monday Night (doubleheader)

  • Dolphins 26, Jets 14
  • Broncos 27, Bengals 23

Standout picks / risk notes

  • Highest confidence: Bills over Saints (big mismatch); Chargers over Giants; Packers over Cowboys (injury-driven edge). (Democrat and Chronicle)
  • Biggest toss-ups / risk plays: Jaguars vs 49ers (injury noise), Broncos vs Bengals (Burrow uncertainty). (Niners Nation)

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